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Under Which Conditions are EM Countries Vulnerable to Economic Contagion Via Currency Volatility?

Jan Dehn, Head of Research at Ashmore, explains why there are two conditions that have to be satisfied before currency volatility can morph into major economic malaise.

Emerging Markets: Déjà vu 2002

As emerging markets continue to suffer from broad sell-offs by risk-wary investors, some see the parallels to similar developments that happened back in 2002. In this exclusive piece of analysis, Ashmore's Jan Dehn considers those parallels - and explains why they only go so far in explaining the current situation.

As Sovereigns Issue Green Bonds, Questions of Creating ‘Additionality’ Linger

A diverse group of governments have taken the plunge and issued green bonds to finance various initiatives designed to improve their climate resilience, but the diversity in their use of proceeds is making the pursuit of consistent impact reporting more complex and raising concerns about greenwashing otherwise harmful activities.

The Flipside of Turkey

United States sanctions against two Turkish government ministers triggered the recent bout of volatility in the Turkish currency market. While Turkey was fundamentally vulnerable to begin with, due to a lengthy period of bad economic policies, the fact that volatility was so severe and spread far beyond Turkey indicates that this was not just about Turkey. It is also about the major shift in America’s use of soft power on the global stage.

Metito CFO: “Managing exposure to EM investments under the IFRS 9 ECL model is a challenge in GCC”

Metito is a leading provider of choice for water management solutions in the emerging markets with operations covering segments including chemicals, and utilities. Although the company is based in the Gulf, it operates on a global scale. We speak to the Holding’s CFO Wafic Ghanem about Metito’s funding plans for the coming year, including hedging and refinancing programs and market diversification.

Will ESG Standards and Ratings Heterogeneity Kill the Sustainable Finance Market?

As the world continues to embrace ESG-led investing, a dizzying array of standards and ratings tools has emerged to help clarify the underlying non-economic impact of an investment and help investors make sense of ESG-linked assets. This explosion in ratings, criteria and standards, however, could sow more confusion than they aim to resolve.

Brown Brothers Harriman: Emerging Markets Preview for the Week Ahead

EM FX stabilized last week as the situation in Turkey calmed somewhat. Reports Friday that the US and China are hoping to resolve the trade dispute also helped EM FX ahead of the weekend. However, TRY remains vulnerable as the US threatens more sanctions due to the pastor. Both S&P and Moody’s downgraded it ahead of the weekend and our own ratings model points to further downgrades ahead. Turkish markets are closed this week for holiday.

A US-China Trade Dispute May Be Good for Latin America

Latin America may have more to gain than lose in a U.S.-China trade dispute, so long as it does not spiral into a recession-provoking trade war, writes John Price.

Brown Brothers Harriman: Emerging Markets Preview for the Week Ahead

EM FX has come under pressure again due to ongoing trade tensions and rising US rates, but saw some modest relief Friday after the PBOC announcement on FX forwards. This helped EM FX stabilize, but we do not think the negative fundamental backdrop has changed. Best performers last week were MXN, PHP, and PEN while the worst were TRY, ZAR, and KRW.

A LIBORious Transition: Weaning the World off the Most Popular Credit Benchmark

About a year has passed since the UK FCA’s Chief Executive Andrew Bailey set the deadline for the financial markets’ transition away from LIBOR, upon which roughly USD350tn in securities, loans and derivatives across five major currencies is contracted. Finding an alternative that can satisfy the diversity of markets that rest upon this crucial benchmark is proving to be more elusive than anticipated, beckoning questions about the pace and scale of transition.

 

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