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Currencies

28 Jun 2017   Global, Macro, Currencies

BBH: EM FX Model for 3Q 2017

After a tough start to the year, EM has been able to get traction. Many EM currencies are trading at multi-year highs, while EM equities (as measured by MSCI EM) are trading at the highest levels since 2015.

Venezuela State Asset Firesale Continues Amid Hard Currency Shortages

Even as Venezuela continues to get rid of its last remaining financial assets in its quest for fresh cash; analysts believe that a default in the crisis-struck nation is just a matter of time

Latin America Credit Markets Brief: June 9 – June 22

Navistar Financial tapped the local markets – Temer denies corruption allegations – IFC is investing in Banco Industrial do Brazil – Temer received another setback in the Senate – Argentina issued a 100-year bond – MSCI snubbed Argentina – Davivienda issued a triple- tranche bond in the local markets – Chile issued a US$1.2bn bond – Panama’s inflation eased – Petroperu tapped the international markets – Venezuela fails to pay debt

GCC Investors on High Alert as Qatar Feels the Heat from Neighbours

As diplomatic dispute between Qatar and its GCC neighbours continues to escalate, both sides are taking a hit amid worsening market sentiment in the region. As investors frantically survey the markets for guidance on next steps, some fundamental disagreements between the region’s powers threaten to prolong the crisis indefinitely.

BBH: EM FX Model for 2Q 2017

Soft US data and delays to fiscal stimulus plans from the Trump administration has led to a rethink of Fed tightening expectations, while lover commodity prices continued to drive down EM currencies through much of the second quarter. Here is BBH’s’ quarterly update on foreign exchange dynamics in emerging markets.

Brazil: The Central Bank Got It Right

Central bankers in Brazil don’t have easy lives, as shown by recent events. Just when the economy seemed to be heading in the right direction, up pops another political crisis that has increased uncertainties – particularly on the reform front. The social security reform is the main focus, due to its consequences on the government’s solvency, but monetary policy is very much in play.

Middle East Credit Markets Brief: May 25 - June 8

GCC states break diplomatic and economic ties with Qatar – Syndicated loans in GCC at 4-year low – Saudi Aramco issues SAR285mn sukuk – NCB issues SAR1.3bn sukuk – ADWEA closes US$872mn funding package – Dana Gas prepares US$700mn sukuk – Qatar Airways secures US$300mn in mezzanine debt – Al Baraka issues maiden US$400mn sukuk – KNPC signs US$6.25bn international loan – Foreign investment in Egyptian securities rises 13% in one week

Latin America Credit Markets Brief: May 26 – June 8

PRI scores a narrow victory in Mexico’s largest state – Brazil: JBS SA has the wind taken out of its sails – Argentina strikes new agreement with credit holdouts – Colombia’s Davivienda reveals big borrowing plans – Chile’s Codelco preps bond issuance – Peru, IFC mull US$2bn green bond issuance – Ecuador hits the international market – Venezuela moves to restructure debt with Russia – Uruguay preps return to the bond market – Bolivia sovereign rating outlook turns negative – Guatemala taps the international market

Nigerian Naira Sees Windows of Opportunity

Following a series of hit and miss attempts to keep the naira steady, the Nigerian Central Bank appears to have found a balanced approach to managing FX, but it may still be too clunky for foreign investment to flow.

Interview with Andy Cairns, Group Head of Corporate Finance, First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB)

In an exclusive interview with Bonds & Loans, Andy Cairns, Group Head of Corporate Finance, First Abu Dhabi Bank (FAB) talks about the normalisation of fundraising in the MENA region in 2017 after a record year of credit market activity the previous year.

 

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