YES Bank opened a gateway into the Japanese market with a dual-currency syndication that attracted an unusually high number of Taiwanese lenders.
It has been a stellar year for emerging market credit, with most of the key benchmark indices outperforming and EM fundamentals broadly improving – while the global economy continues to heat up. But with QE – one of the main forces driving yield-hungry investors into EMs – winding down, a slew of EM elections on the horizon, and uncertainty over the direction of large developed economies like the US, what are the top trends likely to be seen in EM credit in 2018?
How far can this EM FX correction go? Since mid-November, the greenback has been broadly softer due to a variety of factors. EM FX has taken advantage of this, and the top EM performers are ZAR (+5.5%), MXN (+3.8%), and RUB (+3%). TRY has been noticeably lagging, -1.4% since November 15. Many EM currencies are starting to bump up against key chart points, and so the dollar may finally get some traction in the coming days.
With real GDP growth at near zero and fiscal projects trending downward, it’s unsurprising Standard & Poor’s didn’t wait for the ANC leadership contest in late 2017, or the next budget release, to cut the country’s credit rating to junk. The real question now is: how quickly can the country reverse course?
Over the past year, Russian fertilizer giant EuroChem Group AG has made great strides in opening new markets, tapping the growing demand in Asia and Latin America, and spending over USD6bn on two mines to produce potash, a high-quality soil fertilizer. Bonds & Loans catches up with the company’s CFO Andrey Ilyin to discuss the industry outlook, the company’s financing plans for 2018, and how it plans to diversify into new regions.
Brazil to buy back USD1.82bn of sovereign bonds – Pemex issued a GBP450mn bond – Petrobras inked a USD1bn secured loan – Chile holds rates – Electricidad de Caracas defaulted in a 2018 bond – Venezuela gets downgraded to ‘SD’ – Venezulean authorities arrested top Citgo executives – Entre Rios tapped the international markets with a USD150mn
Petropavlovsk sold USD500mn of fresh debt –– PSB gets downgraded – Rosneft’s shares take a hit due to Venezuelan crisis – Venezuela and Russia agree on debt restructuring –ABLV placed USD40mn of unsubordinated notes – Belarus to issue USD600mn next year – The government to support Turkey’s export sector
AfDB issued a USD2bn bond –Afreximbank to mobilise USD100bn to finance new trade deals – First Rand Bank secures dual-tranche syndicated loan – Nigeria to seek USD5.5bn in foreign borrowing – Namibia to boost public spending – DRC fails to account funds from Chinese loan – Chad and Glencore to talk debt restructuring – Army detains Zimbabwe’s President Robert Mugabe
CAF tapped the international markets – Argentina raised interest rates by 100bp – Banorte and Interacciones to merge – Colombia pre-paid a bond – Brazil cuts rates – Banco Hipotecario issued a ARS6.3bn bond – Colombia’s stable outlook affirmed – Televisa’s head to step down – Venezuela to restructure USD60bn worth of debt
Saudi bonds fall as officials arrested amid anti-graft crackdown – Saudi PFI to contribute USD20-40bn to Blackstone-run fund – Egypt secures USD653mn financing for 13 solar projects – APICORP to issue USD500mn sukuk – ADNOC eager to pen USD6bn loan from syndicate of 13 banks – Bank Sohar issues a OMR100mn perp – Bahrain reportedly calls for GCC to freeze Qatar membership
- Russia, CIS, Europe & Turkey Credit Markets Brief: 19 October- 02 November
- Africa Credit Markets Brief: 18 October – 01 November
- Latin America Credit Markets Brief: 12 October – 26 October
- Middle East Credit Markets Brief: 11 October – 25 October
- Russia, CIS, Europe & Turkey Credit Markets Brief: 05 October- 19 October
13 Dec 2017
29 Nov 2017