Macro

Can Chile Get its Groove Back?

For more than three decades, Chile was the poster child of neo-liberalism, the country that followed diligently the IMF playbook. Such discipline was rewarded with impressive growth and the envy of its Latin American peers. By 2010, pundits predicted that Chile was but a few years shy of becoming Latin America’s first “developed” nation. The latest down-cycle, marked by both low copper prices and the flirting with expanded government, created a new set of obstacles for Chile. The question hovering over voters ahead of the Presidential elections in November is, “Can Chile get its groove back?”

Czech, Please? Speculators Hesitate as De-Capped Koruna Rally Falters

Strong signalling and early exit from the currency cap allowed the Czech Central Bank to avoid FX volatility, but currency traders were left in limbo as a Swiss-style post-flotation appreciation failed to materialise.

Brazil: More Taxes in Sight?

Well-balanced public accounts are the basis of a sound economy, by impeding explosive growth of the public debt and its financing through inflation. The government’s budget shortfall threatens this equilibrium.

Nigeria: A Struggling Economy Embraces Reform - Part II

Over the past year Nigeria's economy, hit by rising inflation, low FX reserves and deflated oil price, shrank by about 1.6%. But with a better market outlook on the horizon, as evident from the recent success of a US$1bn Eurobond, the Bonds & Loans Nigeria Special Report looks into what 2017 may bring.

VIDEO: Interview with Jean-Marc Mercier, Global Head of Debt Capital Markets, HSBC

Bonds & Loans interviewed Jean-Marc Mercier, Global Head of Debt Capital Markets at HSBC to discuss how effective Russia's banking sector consolidation has been and how well the international banks have adapted to the new conditions?

Rising Commodity Prices Give Emerging Markets Much Needed Boost

We believe the Fed is on track to hike at least three times this year. Yet EM currencies were mostly firmer in Q1, despite Fed tightening typically being very disruptive to EM. Why? The US dollar lost some traction as markets pushed out Fed tightening beyond March and Treasury Secretary Mnuchin seemed to push out fiscal stimulus into 2018. Rising commodity prices also helped buoy EM.

After a Record Year, Will GCC Borrowers Keep Up the Pace in 2017?

GCC borrowers hit the international capital markets en masse in 2016, driven largely by a trio of interrelated factors that include tighter regional liquidity, widening budget deficits, and persistently low oil prices. With oil on the rebound and interest rates rising, is the trend likely to continue?

The Cape Town Shuffle: Rand Plummets as Zuma Sacks Chief Treasurer

The sacking of South Africa’s finance minister and his cabinet prompted another all-too-familiar slide in the rand and bond prices. As his successor takes office, the markets are tentatively awaiting signs about the direction of economic policy.

Nigeria: A Struggling Economy Embraces Reform - Part I

Over the past year Nigeria's economy, hit by rising inflation, low FX reserves and deflated oil price, shrank by about 1.6%. But with a better market outlook on the horizon, as evident from the recent success of a US$1bn Eurobond, the Bonds & Loans Nigeria Special Report looks into what 2017 may bring.

VIDEO: Interview with Konstantin Vyshkovsky, Director of the Public Debt, MinFin, Russia

Bonds & Loans interviewed Konstantin Vyshkovsky, Director of the Public Debt and State Financial Assets Department, Finance Ministry, Russia, to discuss the more prominent developments in the country’s debt markets

 

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