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Macro

13 Oct 2017   Macro, Currencies, Policy, Asia Pacific

Will the PBOC Reforms Cause More Harm than Good?

As China’s Central Bank rolls out fresh reforms with the purpose of redirecting financing to sectors where credit is usually scarce, some investors question if now is the time to boost borrowing in China.

Latin America Credit Markets Brief: 28 September-12 October

UK aims to bolster trade relationships with South America – Mexico issued a USD1.8bn bond – Grupo Bimbo tapped the local markets with 10-year notes – IFC to invest USD200 in a plant in Brazil – Brazil sold USD3bn of fresh debt – Argentina to grow 3% in 2017 – Venezuela’s inflation to hit 2,300% in 2018 – Chile’s Colbun issued a 10-year bond – Venezuela’s securities hit a three-year high – El Salvador gets downgraded – Colombia holds rates

Middle East Credit Markets Brief: 27 September – 11 October

Syndicated lending in EMEA down 9% to USD610bn in 2017 – Abu Dhabi’s USD10bn bond 3x oversubscribed – UAE’s Ajman Bank secures USD200mn syndicated Islamic loan – UAE banks looking to ditch Qatari assets over GCC rift – Saudi Aramco on course to complete IPO in 2018 – Saudi Arabia issues USD12.5bn international bond – Qatar mulling USD9-11bn bond sale

As LatAm Boosts China Links, Panda Bond Market Opens New Doors

China has over the years moved to strengthen its ties to Latin America in a range of areas, and a recently proposed free trade agreement between the Asian powerhouse and Mexico could take that one step further – potentially opening up a vast new trade and capital corridor between the two regions.

Off the Record: Middle East DCM Must Evolve to Prosper in Challenging Times

As the annual Bonds, Loans & Sukuk Middle East Awards approaches, we discuss some of the themes emerging behind the scenes in Middle East debt capital markets, looking at concerns voiced by bankers, investors and CFOs in private discussions as well as the opportunities on the horizon for foreign FIs and investors looking to delve deeper into the region.

Russia, CIS, Europe & Turkey Credit Markets Brief: 21 September- 5 October

B&N and Otkrite to merge – Sberbank to withdraw from some European countries – Sibur issued a USD500mn bond – Armenia holds rates – Slovenia places a EUR700mn bond – Turkey to issue gold-backed instruments – Yields on Spain’s bonds spike after referendum

Africa Credit Markets Brief: 20 September – 04 October

African Development Bank tapped the international markets – South Africa issued dollar bonds worth USD2.5bn – NPLs rise in Nigeria – Nigeria raises NGN105.87 through maiden sovereign sukuk - Kenya Airways is looking to restructure debt – Ghana holds rates – Zimbabwe gets a USD600mn credit line from Afreximbank

Brazil: The Early Bird Catches the Worm

Some bad ideas are often repeated, hampering productive dialogue on a country’s economic agenda. In Brazil, many people think the decline in inflation was an inevitable result of the recession. Besides this, the Central Bank was supposedly lucky because of the bumper harvests of staple crops and benign external environment, which allowed the exchange rate to appreciate. Therefore, the economic recovery now under way would have occurred in any event, because in economic terms what goes down must come up.

Newsworthy Times for Russia’s Private Banks

While most investors and the Bank of Russia expected to focus much of their attention for the remainder of 2017 on an impressive rebound in the country’s economic prospects, a series of challenges at some of Russia’s lenders – small, medium and large – have forced the world’s gaze onto the cracks emerging underneath its financial system.

Latin America Credit Markets Brief: 14 September – 28 September

The Fed slows rate hikes – AT&T mulls LatAm payTV divestment – Amazon Inc. to build gigantic Mexican distribution warehouse – Mexico quake to trim GDP by 0.1-0.3% - Petrobras completes swap – Temer’s approval ratings at all-time low – Argentina outlook mixed, current account data suggests – Peru lowers policy rate for third time in 2017 – Venezuela running out of fiscal room – Chile MinFin says public spending to grow 3% in 2018

 

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