EM is likely to come under pressure this week if risk-off sentiment picks up from the Saudi bombings. The oil producing countries may outperform but we think the global backdrop for EM remains negative, especially as US-China relations remain in flux. While things are not getting worse, neither are they getting better. Meanwhile, markets are coming to grips with the fact that the Fed is unlikely to ease as aggressively as has been priced in.
Returning to the international market after a 16-year hiatus, the Russian steelmaker issued a USD500mn benchmark dollar Eurobond at just 4.375% coupon – the lowest for any of the region’s corporates in 1.5 years.
Reinvigorated by his recent re-election, President Narendra Modi has vowed to set India on the path towards growth after the country’s weakest GDP print in nearly five years. Aggressive rate cuts, fiscal loosening, and a potential Eurobond issuance may help spark growth, but serious concerns about stagnant public-sector banks weigh heavily on the outlook.
Benin’s debut Eurobond issuance was one of the top sovereign transactions of 2019, decisively putting the country on the map for EM investors. Bonds & Loans caught up with the country’s young and enthusiastic Minister of Finance, Romuald Wadagni, to discuss the government’s borrowing strategy, the country’s impressive growth story, and progress on key reforms.
Bond markets are not particularly well-known for being cutting edge. The vast majority of trading still takes place over the phone, and the settlement process more often than not still takes days rather than hours or minutes. But in emerging markets, where funding innovation is helping borrowers overcome capital bottlenecks and Fintech is enabling new pockets of growth, that perception is changing – and rightly so. We speak with John Gandolfo, the Treasurer of IFC, the private sector-focused arm of the World Bank, about the headwinds facing the global economy, the growing importance of sustainability, and what the rise of Fintech and Regtech means for emerging market debt.
Despite some positive developments last week, we think the three key issues for risk assets have not been resolved yet. Hong Kong protests continue, while reports suggest the US and China remain far apart. Even Brexit has likely been given only a three month reprieve. We remain negative on EM until these key issues have been ultimately resolved.
Viathan Group is an emerging energy player in the power and gas sector in Nigeria but in financing circles, the company is perhaps best known for its innovative 2018 infrastructure bond issuance – when it pioneered a new structure for the country’s capital markets. Babajide Ibironke, the Group’s CFO, talks to Bonds & Loans about the company’s growth ambitions and funding strategy, overcoming the perpetual dysfunction of Nigeria’s power sector, and discusses why ESG and fintech are unavoidable trends that finance professionals and financial institutions must embrace – or face obsolescence and extinction.
Omega Geração S.A., one of Brazil’s top renewables players, debuted in the local debenture markets earlier this year with a carefully tailored four-part transaction that could serve as a template for corporates looking to finance infrastructure by tapping the country’s diverse liquidity pools.
Known for a wide range of high-profile investments into companies like automotive heavyweight McLaren Group and metals giant Aluminium Bahrain (Alba), Mumtalakat – Bahrain’s sovereign wealth fund – is doubling down on its search for investment opportunities that have a lasting positive impact on the real economy. Several months after it issued a debut sukuk and ahead of its 15-year anniversary, we spoke with Mahmood H Alkooheji, CEO of Mumtalakat, about the fund’s shifting investment and internationalisation strategy, and why the rising prevalence of privatisation in the GCC is a huge investment opportunity.
State-owned Enterprises (SOEs) play a significant role in the global economy – but in recent years, they have become synonymous with corruption and poor governance. Robert Besseling, Director at EXX Africa unpacks and assesses efforts (or in some cases, lack thereof) to reform.
- Brown Brothers Harriman: Emerging Markets Preview for the Week Ahead
- RMB: Governance Concerns in South Africa Risk Being Outweighed by Insatiable Demand for Assets
- Brazil: Curb Your Enthusiasm
- Frank Talk: US Global Investors on Fed Hikes, Trade War Risks, and Trump’s Infrastructure Push
- Neuberger Berman Emerging Market Debt PM: Biggest Risk to Investors is Commodity Price Swings